Monday, April 28, 2014

Fun With Stats - Key Person Disability Planning

Let's start our Monday with some fun statistics...

The Brewers have a 5.6% chance of winning the World Series this year according to Las Vegas.  The Cubs have a 0% chance due to my unofficial odds-making.  They always manage to screw it up (Right Steve Bartman?).  3.3% of all births result in twins.  0.5% of the U.S. population has run at least one marathon.  8.5% of the people in the world own a car.  Less than 5% of the world’s population owns a computer.  You have a .02% chance of being struck by lightning in your lifetime.  .08% of high school football players will play professional football. 
Here’s two more: Just over 1 in 4 of today’s 20 year olds will become disabled 3 months or more before they retire.  1 of 8 workers will be disabled for five years or more during their working careers.
Being invincible, I’m more concerned about the Brewers winning the World Series this year.  I’ve already been a statistic with the twins, marathon, car, and computer.  Surprisingly enough, these are all very much less likely to happen than missing significant time at work.  A U.S. Social Security Administration study shows that 64% of wage earners think they have a 2% or less chance of being disabled during their working career.  Where do you fall? 
If you’re a business owner, think about who you can’t afford to lose for three months or more at a time and start there.  Is it you?  Your business partner(s)?  Shop foreman or office manager?  Chances are good that at least one of you will miss some serious time before you retire.  What have you done to protect your business from something like this from happening?  Aside from a disability, what if that person leaves the company to pursue another career or worse, death?  I’ll cover the latter two a different time.
Let’s consider maternity leave for a minute.  Everywhere I’ve worked, when we knew someone was close to maternity leave we had a well-defined plan in place to figure out who would split the workload, cover the phones, do some other quirky stuff, etc.  When that person would leave and be out for twelve weeks, we were a little swamped but not overwhelmed.  We had a well-prepared plan and a little cross-training before that person left, and that helped us get by until the maternity leave was over.  It also helped from a career development standpoint to learn more jobs.
While we all get a bit of a heads up before someone has a baby, let’s think about what we did to prepare for that person’s absence.  It was nothing overwhelming or time consuming, but it was very effective in helping us keep our service standards while that person was gone.  Now’s the time to ask yourself what sort of cross-training or plan do you have in place to cover the absence of some of your other key employees or yourself.  Are there jobs so important and difficult that cross-training is not an option, or are you not large enough to assume that sort of void?  For these types of situations, a key-person disability insurance policy might be a good investment for you.  It’s relatively inexpensive, and it can help you pay bills, cover overhead, and make up for lost revenue as you wait for that person to return or need to hire and train a replacement.  I’ve worked with businesses that have lost a key employee and have seen the results.  It can take several years to get things back to the old normal if you even manage to survive.
I’m not a doom and gloom type of a guy, but I am realistic.  Cross-training is the most inexpensive way to manage an unexpected leave of absence.  As a bonus, it can also prepare employees for future leadership positions.  If cross-training in your situation doesn’t make sense, it’s probably time to think about how key-person disability insurance can help keep you afloat while you manage to find a temporary or permanent solution. 

I’ve been on this earth for 28 years, and I still have yet to see my Brewers win a World Series.  Our odds are 18/1 this year.  Your odds of you or an employee being disabled are much higher than that.  I can cheer until my face turns blue, but I can’t affect the outcome.  Lucky for you, you can.  If you haven’t already, today is a good day to start planning for the future.  And if you’re like me, be happy – you’re not a Cubs fan J
(Disability statistics are from: http://www.disabilitycanhappen.org/chances_disability/disability_stats.asp.  For those of you English majors out there screaming that I didn’t cite my source correctly, my apologies

Andy Bertram CPCU, ARM-E
Risk Advisor
 
Phone: 651-800-6173
 
 
 
 

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